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Simple Truths

Updated: Oct 8, 2021


Numbers Matter


Remember at the beginning of the pandemic how everyone was trying to determine how bad it was? One important number that was discussed quite a bit was the infection rate. The infection rate was/is the total number of people that have actually been infected even if they are never reported and never are counted as cases. Like the case rate (reported infections) the infection rate was and is a very important data point in determining many things about a pandemic. As testing improved the infection rate became less of an issue because we now had actual cases to deal with instead of estimated infections.


You might also remember why the infection rate was much discussed back then. A major topic was about the asymptomatic individuals. Those were infected individuals who could have the virus and not really know it. In the old days they called these people immune.

The "theory" was that these asymptomatic persons could infect others thus the need for masks and other draconian restrictions to "protect" us. Of course the science did not really back this up since asymptomatic basically means without symptoms and without symptoms you are not likely to spread something that you really do not have.


But the infection rate still matters, and it matters in ways that are good for society in the long term, and thus it is not discussed much anymore. In fact the last time that the CDC put out an estimate of the infection rate was through the end of May.


So let's look at that infection rate that CDC put out in May and see what we have,

and what we don't have.

The important figure for this discussion is that 120.2 Million Estimated Total Infections at the bottom of the CDC graph. That number is derived from 1 in 4.2 infections at the top. This simply means that for every 1 "case" there were 4.2 infections that were never reported.


All of this was through May 29, 2021. As of that date there were 34,025,285 reported cases of Covid 19 in the Unites States, but the actual infections were much higher according to the CDC (120.2 million). In fact the reported cases were only 28.3% of all people in the US who had been infected, again according to the CDC estimates.


We must assume that there are still people who are being infected who are never reported. This would seem to be especially true given the much more infectious Delta variant we are now dealing with. If we bring this up to date, there have now been over 45 million cases in the United States since the beginning of the pandemic. Taking the 1 in 4.2, (28.3%) as the infection rate, then this means that over 159,000,000 Americans, or over 48% of all Americans have been infected with covid 19.


Officially 34,479,131 have recovered and, regretfully, 730,210 have died. Doing the math, this means an additional 123.8 million Americans have had and recovered from covid 19. They just are not on the "record." They, along with the 34.4 million official case recoveries all have natural immunity. Consider the implications of that for a moment and what it means to the entire outlook on the pandemic.


This is why the vaccine pushers try so hard to downplay natural immunity, and totally ignore the previously infected when determining policies on everything from vaccines to employment. Is it any wonder that they have ceased to report infection estimates, just as they, coincidentally in May, ceased to report on non dangerous "breakthrough cases" of the vaccinated.


It is entirely possible and soon will be undeniable, that given the infection rate, half of all Americans have been infected and recovered from covid 19.


And these numbers will continue to grow, vaccine or not. Well until the next vaccine induced variant comes along.


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