Today, if you listen to most news sources, 271 Floridians died of Covid 19. In truth, not a single Floridian was reported or recorded as having died of the virus today. Common sense would indicate this, since Florida's daily report comes out at 10:00 AM each day so there is no way today's deaths could be known. The daily report is always, as with most states, a day behind. So, you think 271 Floridians died of Covid-19 yesterday. Again not true.
This chart, beginning July 13, shows the reported fatalities (red) and the recorded/reported fatalities (blue). The chart is accurate as of 8/11/2020, it will change tomorrow. The 271 deaths reported today do not have a corresponding, date of death in blue, Yesterday's reported deaths (91) which yesterday had no day of death's associated with it, now shows ten. The reporting and actual recording of deaths is not an instant process, it sometimes takes days for a death to be "officially" recorded and then reported by the state. When it is, it is recorded on the actual day the person died.
The peaks and valleys of the reported deaths are simply caused by reporting lag time compounded by weekends and holidays. The deaths reported today actually just filled in some of the valleys created by this lag. The peaks, such as today's 271 fatalities, are flattened
as they fill in the valleys, they are not actual day of death numbers. Ten of those 271 deaths reported today were those from yesterday, thirty-six additional deaths were added for August 9th and so on back in time.
When I first started posting on this back on August 2nd I made the following observation:
Not only has there never been a day with two hundred deaths in Florida, the current day with the most deaths is July 17th, a full sixteen days ago and the current "record" number of deaths on that day was 143.
As you can see from the chart above, the actual peak of daily fatalities fell back one day to July 16th and the record Florida daily Covid-19 fatalities is now 166. Of course as recording catches up, the end of the blue line will begin to move up. There was, unfortunately, Covid-19 deaths today and more will be added to preceding days, filling in those reporting valleys. But we are now approaching a month since the current peak of July 16th, and while it is possible another day will overtake it, it seems doubtful. Even more doubtful that Florida will ever have two hundred daily deaths from Covid-19, despite what you hear on the evening news.
Current as of 8/11/2020
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